Rashidi et al. 2023: 14,400 pre-ChatGPT journal abstracts through the RoBERTa GPT-2 detector
- Authors
- Rashidi, Fennell, Albahra, Hu, Gorbett
- Venue
- Journal of Pathology Informatics 14, article 100342
- Published
The 2023 Rashidi study ran 14,400 abstracts published between 1980 and February 2023 in Nature, Science, The New England Journal of Medicine, Radiology and Archives of Pathology & Laboratory Medicine through the RoBERTa-based GPT-2 output detector and reports that up to 8.69% of the real abstracts in a five-year range scored above 50% AI probability and up to 5.13% above 90%, with the share above 90% falling to 0.75% for the 2020 to 2023 abstracts. The paper, "The ChatGPT conundrum: Human-generated scientific manuscripts misidentified as AI creations by AI text detection tool" by Hooman H. Rashidi, Brandon D. Fennell, Samer Albahra, Bo Hu and Tom Gorbett of the Cleveland Clinic and UCSF, appeared in the Journal of Pathology Informatics, volume 14, article 100342, online 17 October 2023 (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, read 10 November 2026 as the PMC full text, PMC10727991).
The record joins the studies index as the largest false-positive test of a single detector on scientific writing. The paper was received on 28 July 2023, accepted on 10 October 2023, and is open access under a CC BY-NC-ND licence (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, read 10 November 2026).
Rashidi 2023 used one detector: the "roberta-base-openai-detector" model from the OpenAI repository on Hugging Face, downloaded with the transformers Python package and run locally to return a 0 to 1.0 probability that a text is AI-generated. The authors state that no GPT-3 or GPT-4 based detection API was available to them and that cost limited them to the freely available model (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Methods, read 10 November 2026). The same weights sit behind the GPT-2 Output Detector demo tested in Gao 2023.
What was tested
Detectors tested
| Detector | Index card |
|---|---|
| RoBERTa-base OpenAI GPT-2 output detector (Hugging Face "roberta-base-openai-detector", run locally) | GPT-2 Output Detector |
Sample
| Text set | Count | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Real abstracts, all | 14,400 | PubMed, five journals, 1980 to February 2023 |
| Real abstracts per five-year range | 1,600 | Nine ranges, random sample per range |
| Diluted abstracts (first 50% and first 25% by word count) | 14,400 each | Same abstracts, positive-control study (Fig. 3) |
| Flagged abstracts re-checked by a GPT-4 prompt through the ChatGPT Plus interface | 10 | Two per journal, each scored above 90% by the detector |
Detector as named in Rashidi et al. 2023, DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Methods.
The abstracts were scraped from PubMed, from the first five pages of search results for each journal, and sampled in nine five-year clusters from 1980 to 1984 through 2020 to February 2023, 1,600 drawn at random per cluster and 14,400 in all, with a length filter so that the abstracts fit the model's token limit (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Methods, read 10 November 2026).
Sample as described in Rashidi et al. 2023, DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342.
A 50% probability was the base threshold for a suspected AI call, with further cuts at 60%, 70%, 80% and 90%; full-length abstracts were used for the main analysis, and the dilution study fed the model the first half and first quarter of each abstract as a positive control (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Methods, read 10 November 2026).
What the study reports
| Metric | Value | Base |
|---|---|---|
| Highest share of real abstracts above 50% AI probability in any range (Discussion) | 8.69% | 1,600 abstracts, 1995 to 1999 |
| Highest share above 90% in any range (Discussion, Fig. 2) | 5.13% (82 abstracts) | 1,600 abstracts, 2000 to 2004 |
| Share above 90%, 1990 to 1994 (Discussion: "roughly 1 in 20") | 5.00% (80 abstracts) | 1,600 abstracts |
| Share above 90%, 2020 to 2023 (Discussion, Fig. 2) | 0.75% (12 abstracts) | 1,600 abstracts |
| Share above 90% by range, 1980 to 2023 (Fig. 2 table) | 4.00%, 4.94%, 5.00%, 4.63%, 5.13%, 3.63%, 2.25%, 1.38%, 0.75% | 1,600 abstracts per range |
| Share above 90% by journal (Table 1) | NEJM 10.24%, Science 3.89%, Arch Pathol Lab Med 3.11%, Radiology 1.94%, Nature 1.89% | each journal's abstracts, all years |
| Share below 50% by journal (Table 1) | NEJM 84.69%, Science 93.89%, Arch Pathol Lab Med 93.98%, Radiology 95.72%, Nature 96.69% | each journal's abstracts, all years |
| Flagged abstracts called human by the GPT-4 prompt (Supplementary Table 1) | all 10, but a separate set of AI-written abstracts was also called human | 10 abstracts |
Rashidi 2023 prints its results as shares of each 1,600-abstract range (Fig. 2, a bar chart with a table beneath) and of each journal's abstracts (Table 1), with the maxima stated in the Discussion (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Results and Discussion, read 10 November 2026).
Values as printed in Rashidi et al. 2023, DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Fig. 2, Table 1, Results and Discussion, read 10 November 2026.
The trend over time is the finding the authors spend most of the Discussion on. The share of real abstracts scored above 90% peaks in 2000 to 2004 at 5.13% and declines steadily to 0.75% in 2020 to 2023, which the authors attribute in part to temporal misalignment between the detector's Reddit-derived training text and scholarly prose written decades earlier, while noting that this does not "fully explain all the observed trends" (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Discussion, read 10 November 2026).
The journal effect was larger than the time effect. Four journals showed shares above 90% between 1.89% and 3.89%, while NEJM "was shown to be an outlier at 10.24% for unknown reasons"; the authors tested abstract length and abstract format as causes and found that neither separates NEJM from the other four journals (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Discussion and Appendix Fig. 1, read 10 November 2026). The supplementary material shows one real 1982 NEJM abstract that the detector scored at 99.96% AI.
The dilution study found the detector "performed best on the full abstract" and worse on the first half and first quarter (Fig. 3, no figures printed in the text), and the ten flagged abstracts re-run through a GPT-4 prompt in the ChatGPT Plus interface were all called human, but so were a separate set of AI-written abstracts, so the authors call that check "rather non-specific" and "not a validated method" (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Discussion and Supplementary Table 1, read 10 November 2026).
Limits the authors state
The authors name the single detector first: the study "only evaluates a single AI-text detection model, which is not the most current technology available", chosen because no newer detector offered API access for large-scale analysis and because of the expense of commercial tools (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Discussion, read 10 November 2026). The 2020 to 2023 figure carries its own caveat: the assumption that no abstract could have used a language model no longer holds for that range, so "the true value of the false detection rate is less than or equal to the quoted value of 0.75%".
Evident from the paper: no AI-written abstracts were scored by the detector, so the study reports no miss rate and no accuracy; the figures appear per range and per journal rather than as one pooled false positive rate; and the length filter applied at collection is not stated as a number.
Which cards this study feeds
- AIDI-R-01AI detectors ranked by independent testing Two records added in the fifth wave on 9 November 2026, Pegoraro 2023 and Fleckenstein 2024, changed nine counts and none: Pegoraro 2023 tested ZeroGPT, GPTZero, Copyleaks, Originality.ai, Writer, Content at Scale (BrandWell), DetectGPT, the GPT-2 Output Detector and GLTR, lifting GPTZero to 12, the GPT-2 Output Detector to 10, Copyleaks to 7 and Originality.ai and ZeroGPT to 6; Fleckenstein 2024 tested 289 teachers and no software, so it counts for no card ([Fleckenstein 2024 record](/studies/fleckenstein-2024-teachers/)). Illuminarty, one of four cards added in the same wave, joined with its one image record from Ha and Passananti 2024, so 18 of 72 cards now qualify.
- AIDI-R-02AI detector false positive rates, ranked
The one detector in Rashidi 2023 has a card in this index. The card records the maximum of 8.69% of 1,600 real abstracts above 50% and 5.13% above 90%, the 0.75% for 2020 to 2023 and the NEJM share of 10.24% above 90% (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, read 10 November 2026).
The card appears in the ranking of detectors by test record, and the per-range shares above 50% are the kind of figure the false positive rate ranking draws on. How this record is sourced explains how a share on a stated base enters a card, and the home page lists which AI detectors exist and who has tested them.
Related records: Gao 2023 ran the hosted demo of the same model on 50 ChatGPT and 50 real abstracts from five of the same journals and reports 94% specificity at a 1.46% cutoff; Jabarian and Imas 2025 ran the same RoBERTa-base weights on 1,992 human passages and reports a false positive rate of 0.9503 at a 0.5 threshold (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, read 10 November 2026).
The record is one of five listed with its figure and base in the Q3 2027 studies digest, and the one of the five that scores an indexed card, read 10 November 2026.
Questions about this study
How many real abstracts did the GPT-2 detector flag in Rashidi 2023?
Up to 8.69% of the 1,600 abstracts in a five-year range scored above 50% AI probability, and up to 5.13% (82 of 1,600, in 2000 to 2004) above 90%; for 2020 to 2023 the share above 90% was 0.75% (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Discussion and Fig. 2).
Which journal's abstracts were flagged most in Rashidi 2023?
The New England Journal of Medicine, with 10.24% of its abstracts scored above 90% AI probability against 1.89% for Nature, 1.94% for Radiology, 3.11% for Archives of Pathology & Laboratory Medicine and 3.89% for Science (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Table 1). The authors could not explain the NEJM gap by abstract length or format.
Did Rashidi 2023 test any AI-written text?
Not with the detector: all 14,400 abstracts were real, so the paper reports no miss rate; a separate check of 10 flagged abstracts through a GPT-4 prompt called them all human but also called a set of AI-written abstracts human, which the authors describe as non-specific and not validated (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Discussion and Supplementary Table 1).
Which detector did Rashidi 2023 use?
The RoBERTa-base OpenAI GPT-2 output detector, downloaded from Hugging Face and run locally, because no newer detection API was available to the authors and commercial tools were too costly (DOI 10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342, Methods). The model has a card in this index.
Source and revisions
Source
Rashidi, H. H., Fennell, B. D., Albahra, S., Hu, B., Gorbett, T. (2023). The ChatGPT conundrum: Human-generated scientific manuscripts misidentified as AI creations by AI text detection tool. Journal of Pathology Informatics 14, 100342. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpi.2023.100342; read 10 November 2026 as the full text and Table 1 at PMC10727991 (PMID 38116171) through the Europe PMC full-text XML, https://www.ebi.ac.uk/europepmc/webservices/rest/PMC10727991/fullTextXML, and the Fig. 2 table from the publisher's figure file, https://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S2153353923001566-gr2_lrg.jpg, both read 10 November 2026. Article page: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10727991/.



). Illuminarty, one of four cards added in the same wave, joined with its one image record from Ha and Passananti 2024, so 18 of 72 cards now qualify.: register plate](/img/independently-tested-480.webp)